Tropical Discussion: Thursday Evening
Laura was a little too close of a call. For those who are thinking that it wasn’t then I just don’t know what to tell you. I am not going to get into the debate about the forecasting and the computer models because it was a very dynamic situation and I will leave it at that. This is not the time. I will say that the National Weather Service and the NHC did a fantastic job of forecasting these most recent storms and those folks deserve a real tip of the hat.
I hesitate to show this map from the NHC, but we have to remember that we are not even yet to the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season and we need to be ever mindful.
Right now, I can tell you that I am not losing any sleep over either of them just yet, but you better believe we’ll keep an eye on them for you. Both have a 30% (low) chance of development over the next 5 days. The lower system is churning moving westward at a low enough latitude that it could eventually start giving us something to talk about. Let’s just keep a very watchful eye on them and see how it plays out.
There have been some questions sent to the page about how Laura and Marco changed the water temperatures over the Gulf, and it is likely not the answer that you are looking for. They are still hovering in the mid-80s and that is something to keep in mind. But let’s not focus on that too much right now and let’s just make sure that our friends to the east are taken care of and that we are prepared for anything else that Mother Ocean tosses our direction.
For more information on the Gulf of Mexico water temperatures you can visit The center for Environmental Information website.
Take care and be at peace, my friends!